Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Probable Pitchers and Best Prop Bets for Thursday, June 11
The Miami Marlins will try to complete a three-game sweep of the Arizona Diamondbacks on Thursday afternoon at loanDepot park after taking the first two games of the series in convincing fashion. Miami won the opener 10-6 on Tuesday and followed with an 8-0 shutout on Wednesday, putting itself in position to finish off a strong home series against a Diamondbacks team that has hovered just above the .500 mark in the 2026 season.
The Marlins enter the finale as slight moneyline favorites, though they will use a bullpen game rather than a traditional starter. Tyler Phillips is expected to open the game for Miami, and the right-hander has posted a 2.08 ERA in limited work this season. Miami’s bullpen has been one of the steadier parts of its roster, carrying a 3.58 ERA in 2026, and the club has been especially effective at home with a 22-16 record in Miami.
Arizona will turn to veteran Merrill Kelly, who has had a difficult start to the 2026 campaign. Kelly owns a 5.71 ERA, and his underlying numbers have been even less encouraging. He was hit hard in his most recent outing, allowing seven runs, and has struggled to keep opponents from making quality contact. The Diamondbacks will hope for a rebound performance as they try to avoid the sweep and leave Miami with at least one win.
The matchup also features an intriguing betting angle on Arizona outfielder Corbin Carroll. Carroll has been one of the team’s most dangerous hitters during the past week, homering three times over his last six games while producing a 1.137 OPS. He has 11 home runs on the season and has shown strong production against both right-handed and left-handed pitching, making him a threat regardless of matchup. With Miami expected to use multiple pitchers, Carroll’s power profile makes him a notable candidate to leave the yard.
From a team perspective, Miami has been one of the hotter offenses in the series, scoring 18 runs across the first two games. That production, combined with solid bullpen work and home-field advantage, makes the Marlins a logical favorite despite the lack of a traditional starter. Arizona, meanwhile, will need a turnaround from Kelly and more consistent run support to avoid another lopsided result.
The game is scheduled for Thursday, June 11, at 1:10 p.m. EST, and it will be televised on DBACKS.TV and Marlins.TV. Arizona enters the finale at 34-33, while Miami sits at 33-35. The series wraps up with the Marlins looking to extend their momentum and the Diamondbacks trying to stop the slide.
