Friday’s MLB home run prop slate features three standout power targets backed by favorable matchups, strong recent form, and hitter-friendly parks. FanDuel Research highlights Ben Rice and Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees against former Yankee Luis Severino, along with Atlanta Braves outfielder Mike Yastrzemski against Chris Paddack in Cincinnati. The selections are framed as a mix of high-upside plays and one longer-shot value option, all available through FanDuel Sportsbook on Friday, May 29, 2026.
Ben Rice is presented as the best early power play at +310. The Yankees first baseman has emerged as one of baseball’s most productive hitters in 2026, producing a .290 batting average, .385 on-base percentage, and .623 slugging percentage with 16 home runs in 184 plate appearances. He has also gone deep three times in his last five games and is showing elite power contact metrics, including an 18.5 barrel rate. The matchup is appealing because Severino has struggled with the long ball and already showed vulnerability against New York in a prior meeting this season. Rice has been especially effective against right-handed pitching, and Sutter Health Park is considered a decent environment for home run production.
Aaron Judge is the second Yankees bat recommended at +340, and the case is built around his historic power profile. Judge has 17 home runs this season and remains one of the most dangerous hitters in baseball by barrel rate, exit velocity, and hard-hit percentage. FanDuel Research emphasizes that he profiles well against Severino’s pitch mix, especially when facing fastballs on the inner half. Judge’s presence in the heart of the Yankees lineup also gives him multiple chances to drive in runs and see quality pitches. With New York carrying one of the league’s strongest team slugging marks, the article argues that Judge is in one of the best individual home run spots of the day.
The value pick is Mike Yastrzemski at +480 for Atlanta’s matchup with Cincinnati. Great American Ball Park is one of the most homer-friendly venues in baseball, and Chris Paddack enters with major run-prevention concerns. The right-hander has posted a 7.63 ERA and has allowed multiple home runs in several starts this season. Yastrzemski has been swinging the bat well lately, with hits in four of his last five games and a strong fly-ball profile in May, which makes him well suited to a home run wager. He also has a track record of success against Paddack, adding to the appeal.
Overall, the article’s core argument is that all three bets are rooted in the same formula: powerful hitters, pitchers with home run issues, and favorable ballparks. Rice and Judge are described as the safest upside plays, while Yastrzemski offers the best price.
